Friday, May 4

First thoughts

Results from the local elections show mixed results. The Conservatives will be reasonably happy despite Plymouth and Trafford. Seeing off Labour in London is a big morale boost – anti-Semitism obviously a bigger problem for Corbyn than Windrush is for Theresa May. Although it suggests there are limits to activism, the difference in demographic voting intentions – between local and national elections – gives Labour reason to feel optimistic. Younger voters are far more likely to turn out for a general election. Brexit remains the key. If the government fudge the end game and then fail to sell it to their supporters the Conservative Party will be toast.

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